As we already discussed, the New England Patriots may possibly seem to be the “sure bet” for Sunday’s Super Bowl LI in Houston with a 6:30 PM ET start, but let’s discuss why maybe putting our money on the Falcons may be the way to go for a healthy return on our betting investment?
Here are the current betting lines for Super Bowl 51 between NE vs. ATL;
Best Patriots Lines: 5Dimes Spread (-3) ML -150
Best Falcons Lines: BetOnline Spread (+3) ML +135
Over/Under: BetOnline 58.0
With just their second Super Bowl appearance since joining the league in 1966 and first since 1999, the Falcons with all of America on their side will be seeking to pull off the ultimate victory when they take to the field at NRG Stadium on Sunday evening.
The Falcons will enter this matchup as slight underdogs at least in the betting world at (+3) points across the board and unlike in that 1999 title game where they were spanked by the John Elway-led Denver Broncos, many outside of New England honestly believe the Dirty Birds of Atlanta have a legitimate shot to win this game outright; but why?
Well, how about an offense that was one of the deadliest in league history behind the arm of longtime veteran Matt Ryan, who knows it will take another explosive performance by his offense to help bring down the much more experienced Patriots.
And for New England, when it comes to facing good quarterbacks this season; something they only had to do twice… they struggled. One huge advantage the Falcons hope to capitalize on will be to get their explosive offense going on all cylinders with plenty of weapons on the receiving end hand with standout Julio Jones leading the charge and in the backfield with Devonta Freeman.
If the Falcons can go tit-for-tat on the offensive end while limiting mistakes in the turnover department, Atlanta will give themselves a great chance to win this football game. The Falcons turned the ball over just 11 times this past season with seven of those coming on Ryan interceptions. Atlanta has been perfect on the offensive end in the postseason and know another error-free performance may be the difference between losing and winning it all. New England in their only two defeats all season failed to create a single turnover.
Heading into the big one, the Patriots may have the No. 1 scoring defense in the league, but ranked just the 23rd-best at defending the pass; a stat Ryan is all too aware of as he brings in an NFL-best 117.1 passer rating and the No. 1 passing attack in all of football.
Despite allowing the fifth-most points in the league, many critics believe the Atlanta defense is underrated as they were in the league’s highest scoring division. Over the last eight games, the ATL defense allowed just 20.38 points per game, with an average of only 9.4 points allowed in the fourth quarter.
What does this all mean, we will soon have our answer, but if the defense can apply enough pressure to slow down the Patriots and get the stops, while making way for the Falcons to do their thing on the offensive end, Atlanta may have what it takes with their PLUS (+3) points to win it all outright?